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Global Risks & Future Threats

The Growing Threat of Deepfakes: AI-Generated Videos and Audio as Tools for Terrorism, Psychological Warfare, and Cyber Attacks

In today’s rapidly evolving technological landscape, artificial intelligence (AI) is driving remarkable advancements. However, as with any powerful tool, there are dark sides to its applications. One of the most alarming developments in recent years is the rise of deepfakes—AI-generated videos and audio that are nearly indistinguishable from real recordings. …

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HALEU: The Uranium Fuel for Next-Gen Reactors—A Clean Energy Breakthrough or a Nuclear Weapons Risk?

Introduction Preventing the proliferation of nuclear weapons has been a major focus of international policy for over 70 years. However, a growing interest in high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU), driven by billions of dollars in U.S. government funding, raises serious concerns about nuclear security. HALEU, enriched between 10% and 19.75% in …

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The Future of Military Technology: The Importance of Technology Forecasting

The global defense and security landscape is evolving at an unprecedented pace, marked by intense competition across geopolitical, economic, military, technological, and industrial spheres. This competition, while driving innovation and development, also introduces significant security vulnerabilities and the potential for conflict. Technology forecasting is a crucial tool for military planners, …

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The Dawn of Quantum AGI: A Speculative Leap Toward Human-Like Intelligence

Imagine a world where artificial intelligence (AI) doesn’t just excel at specific tasks like image recognition or language translation, but can think, reason, and learn across all domains—just as humans do. This is the vision of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), a type of AI that could diagnose diseases as effectively …

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Bolstering National Security: Addressing Vulnerabilities in the U.S. Defense Industrial Base

As global tensions rise, the U.S. Defense Industrial Base (DIB) finds itself grappling with a range of escalating supply chain risks, particularly those emanating from China. These risks are not confined to the availability of raw materials and components but extend into the digital realm, where cyber threats pose an …

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Climate Change: An Existential Threat and Driver of Global Conflicts

Climate change is not just an environmental concern but one of the most significant existential threats facing humanity today. Its impact extends far beyond rising temperatures and sea levels, profoundly influencing global stability and security. The intricate link between climate change and conflict is increasingly evident, making it a crucial …

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Future Climate-Smart and Sustainable Cities: The Role of Green ICT, Synthetic Biology, and Emerging Technologies

Cities are powerful engines of economic growth, yet they face significant challenges due to mass urbanization, aging populations, and the climate crisis—all of which are accelerating. More than half of the world’s population currently lives in cities, and it is estimated that by 2050, 70% of the world’s population will …

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Climate Change: A National Security Risk, says US DOD, Plans Adaptation and Climate Intervention

Climate change is no longer a distant concern relegated to environmentalists and scientists. It has emerged as a pressing national security threat, prompting the United States Department of Defense (DOD) to develop comprehensive adaptation and climate intervention strategies. The DOD’s recognition of climate change as a critical security issue underscores …

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AI Risks to Synthetic Biology: Screening and Safety Measures

The convergence of artificial intelligence (AI) and synthetic biology has ushered in a new era of scientific discovery and innovation. However, this intersection also presents significant risks, especially concerning the synthesis of nucleic acids. The growing availability and ease of synthesizing nucleic acids have raised safety concerns that, when combined …

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Catastrophic Wildfire Threat: The Need for Advanced Prevention, Detection, and Suppression Technologies

Wildfires are becoming a growing concern worldwide, with devastating consequences for ecosystems, human lives, and economies. The increasing frequency and intensity of these fires are linked to climate change, urban expansion, and mismanaged forests. To mitigate the catastrophic threat posed by wildfires, innovative technologies in prevention, detection, and suppression are …

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