Mind Games: DARPA’s “Theory of Mind” Program and the Future of Strategic Prediction

Introduction: From Knowing Capabilities to Anticipating Intent The most dangerous failures in modern geopolitics are no longer rooted in ignorance of capability, but in misreading intent. In an era defined by compressed decision cycles, gray-zone competition, and persistent ambiguity across military, cyber, and economic domains, the margin for interpretive error has narrowed dramatically. Strategic actors…

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